Currency rates - Forex

Forex Trading

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Unathi Kwaza RT from Rod MacPhail: Land and buildings are a great thing to sell to foreigners. They bring in forex. They pay rates and utilities. They visit SA and spend money. They can’t take it away. A goodly chunk of London and New York is foreign owned. About 1% of SA property is foreign owne...

Unathi Kwaza RT from Rod MacPhail: Land and buildings are a great thing to sell to foreigners. They bring in forex. They pay rates and utilities. They visit SA and spend money. They can’t take it away. A goodly chunk of London and New York is foreign owned. About 1% of SA property is foreign owne... submitted by TweetArchiveBot to LibertyRSA [link] [comments]

8 Ways to Get the Best Forex Deal

8 Ways to Get the Best Forex Deal
I remember the problem which I faced prior to my first international trip – buying foreign currency. I went to the heart of my city to look for a Forex service provider which would sell me the foreign currency I was looking for at a fair price. More than two hours in the market and I had to settle for a rate which left me feeling cheated.
It has been five years since that episode. Today, my least concern before a foreign trip is to get foreign currency. Whether it is for studying abroad, international travel, or working outside the country, we all want to get the best Forex deals for our foreign visitors. Following is a list comprising of eight ways to get the best Forex deal:

https://preview.redd.it/dlzc657ofye31.jpg?width=1024&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=23826008d436f19e5bbad9924e4a5d219e72f818
1.Purchase Online –
Do you know the reason why you get more discount on e-commerce websites than in a shopping mall? That’s right. E-commerce websites have online stores, which saves them a lot of money. Being online, not offline, means that they offer their potential customers not only the means to purchase from the comfort of their home, but also help them save time and energy. Tei Forex is the only completely-online Forex service provider company in India.
2. Compare –
It is funny that we tend to compare rates for the smallest of groceries, but refrain from doing the comparison when it comes to Foreign Exchange. Not all Forex vendors offer the best exchange rates. For buying foreign currency, Tei Forex is a premium Forex company which assures the best foreign exchange rates. Simply go through their websites or call them to get the rates and do the comparison. It may take a little extra time, but it can save you thousands.
3. Don’t leave it for the last moment –
Although Tei forex delivers a prepaid Forex card within 24-48 hours (excluding holidays), it is better to order your prepaid travel card at least five days in advance. In case if you speculate that the ordered currency rate will go down, don’t worry. Order your international travel card well in advance with the bare minimum amount. You can later reload it when the rate falls.
4. Look for offers –
Though a majority of vendors simply want to make as much money as possible from their customers, there are a few vendors which belief in customer satisfaction. Tei Forex does not only assure the best currency exchange rates, but also provides two free ATM withdrawals per month. They also provide round-the-clock customer support.
5. Don’t fall for unbelievable offers –
Getting an offer is one thing, but getting an unbelievable offer is another. Rule of thumb tells us that if an offer is too good to be true, it most likely is. Some companies adopt marketing gimmicks or unethical means to woo their customers.
6. Negotiate –
If you ask for something, you will get a ‘yes’ or a ‘no’. If it is a no, it would not really matter, but if it is a yes, good for you. While the banks will not entertain you if you try to negotiate with them, Forex vendors might. If you find a better exchange rate for the currency you are looking for, inform the other Forex vendors. To convert you as their customer, they might as well challenge that price and offer you a better exchange rate.
7. Avoid the Forex vendors at the airports –
Rarely will you find a good Forex rate from the airport currency exchange vendors. Whether you have just arrived or are about to leave, airport Forex vendors are the last place you should consider buying or selling your Forex, as their rates are exorbitant. At the time of arrival, if you don’t have any cash in the local currency, just exchange enough to pay for the hotel transfer. If you are leaving, exchange the excess money before arriving at the airport. Whatever purchases you would want to make at the airport can be done using your Tei Forex prepaid Forex card.
  1. Avoid using your Debit or Credit card –
Using your debit or credit card in a foreign country may seem really convenient, but it can be really costly. Banks are known to charge up to 6.5% as fees on the use of their debit or credit card internationally. And more often than not, the charges are not just levied by your bank, but by the ATM’s bank as well. Banks may even try to lure you by offering you with free insurance or travel discounts. In that case, read point #5 again.
Tags:
best foreign exchange,online currency exchange, money transfer service,foreign exchange in bangalore, foreign currency exchange in bangalore,currency exchange in bangalore airport,currency exchange in bangalore near me,forex in bangalore, best rates foreign exchange in bangalore airport,currency exchange in bangalore brigade road.
submitted by Teiforexpvt to u/Teiforexpvt [link] [comments]

http://twitter.com/forex_in_world/status/1273879718568304640Norges Bank signals rate hikes from 2022 https://t.co/mnli8XOJVa— FOREX IN WORLD (@forex_in_world) June 19, 2020

http://twitter.com/forex_in_world/status/1273879718568304640Norges Bank signals rate hikes from 2022 https://t.co/mnli8XOJVa— FOREX IN WORLD (@forex_in_world) June 19, 2020 submitted by Red-its to forextweet [link] [comments]

Would you like to succeed at Forex trading? Fast track your success and follow the high performance Forex signals from 1000pip Builder. These Forex signals are rated 5 star on Investing.com , so you can follow every signal with confidence.

Would you like to succeed at Forex trading? Fast track your success and follow the high performance Forex signals from 1000pip Builder. These Forex signals are rated 5 star on Investing.com , so you can follow every signal with confidence. submitted by Vellabest to u/Vellabest [link] [comments]

Net Interest Rate Differential can be a critical factor to affect the net profit and loss of your online Forex trading. It is so complex that even experts can make mistakes. Thankfully, there is a reliable and trusted solution from http://dominion24.esy.es/register-for-webinar/

Net Interest Rate Differential can be a critical factor to affect the net profit and loss of your online Forex trading. It is so complex that even experts can make mistakes. Thankfully, there is a reliable and trusted solution from http://dominion24.esy.es/register-for-webina submitted by edithadhanushya to u/edithadhanushya [link] [comments]

Transferring money from Canada and Forex rates : wire transfer versus Transferwise

I plan to transfer more than 100000 CAD from India. Indian rupees(INR) to CAD; Indian bank account flat fees+ foreign exchange rate + a flat fee of 15-20 CAD from Canadian bank account. My service fees for both banks are less than 50 CAD ( 1000 INR + 20 CAD + taxes).
Do get a bad exchange rate?YES!!!
Approximately for every 100000 CAD transfers not done through Transferwise I loose 1400 CAD
ICICI Minimal Remittance Service Charge (B) (Inclusive of GST):
Transferwise fees
Missing info
Bottomline
https://www.icicibank.com/nri-banking/money_transfemoney-transfer-rates.page
https://transferwise.com/in/compare/icici-bank-vs-transferwise

Some earlier post in this subreddit concluded that for larger sums wore transfer is better. I think not. Please comment

Bank Exchange rate (INR) Amount INR Amount CAD Fees (INR) -
ICICI to BMO 55.90 559200 10000 1183.00
ICICI to Transferwise 54.3978 559200 0 10207.41 3939.55
Difference 1.5 + 0 207.4 + 2756 -
submitted by 2path47 to PersonalFinanceCanada [link] [comments]

Psychology of accepting a low win-rate with high R value (xpost from r/forex)

submitted by watr to tradingpsychology [link] [comments]

xRapid simulator from Matt Hamilton & comparison to instantaneous Forex exchange rate.

I've taken the xRapid simulator from Matt Hamilton and added the comparison to instantaneous Forex exchange rate.
Depending on the order books, FX fluctuations, and the amount , xRapid fees for USD to MXN are currently in the range of 1-2%.
Code here to play: https://github.com/hmatejx/xrapid-sim
$ python3 xrapid-sim.py 5000 bittrex USD bitso MXN Getting order book for XRP/USD from Bittrex + Bought 13363.57 XRP @ 0.2910 + Bought 3805.48 XRP @ 0.2920 Total Bought: 17169.05 XRP Buy trade fee: 42.92 XRP Net: 17126.13 XRP Sending the 17126.13 XRP from Bittrex to Bitso Getting order book for XRP/MXN from Bitso - Sold 2502.67 XRP @ 5.5800 - Sold 14623.46 XRP @ 5.5100 Total dest amount: 94540.17 MXN Sell trade fee: 614.51 MXN Net: 93925.66 MXN xRapid comparison to Forex exchange rates ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Total dest amount (FX): 95306.75 MXN xRapid efficiency (FX): 98.55% xRapid fees (FX): 1.45% 
submitted by H_M_X_ to Ripple [link] [comments]

Forex - Loonie Strengthens After BoC Holds Back From Rate Cut Hints

Forex - Loonie Strengthens After BoC Holds Back From Rate Cut Hints submitted by Gdog1243 to aboutForex [link] [comments]

@AlphaexCapital : Emerging currencies to benefit from Fed rate cut https://t.co/lCvyDghGtN #forex #news #forextrading #investing

submitted by AlphaexCapital to AlphaexCapital [link] [comments]

The Forex Carry Trade – How to Profit From Interest Rates

The Forex Carry Trade – How to Profit From Interest Rates submitted by Hellterskelt to bitcoin_is_dead [link] [comments]

The Forex Carry Trade – How to Profit From Interest Rates

The Forex Carry Trade – How to Profit From Interest Rates submitted by ososru to Bitcoin4free [link] [comments]

The Forex Carry Trade – How to Profit From Interest Rates

The Forex Carry Trade – How to Profit From Interest Rates submitted by Rufflenator to 3bitcoins [link] [comments]

I couldn't find from googling reddit/pfc. For forex 0%, brim is using their own rate instead of MCs. Does anyone who has used the card know how far off the rate is?

I can't seem to find more info on their website, except that brim sets the exchange rate.
Should I sign up for rogers instead? I just got my brim in the mail but now am worried. Can anyone link me the rogers card?
submitted by ohnoimrunningoutofsp to PersonalFinanceCanada [link] [comments]

I have an 89% win rate over 18 trades, with a 27% profit. How many trades should I do before going live?

So I've been doing some scalping on pairs with high spreads in cryptocurrencies previously with great success, but I finally figured I'd give forex a real shot (was into it a few years ago, but didn't go live). Last time I scalped in crypto, I had 14 out of 14 successful trades, but only about a 10% profit. I haven't heard about anyone scalping the way I do in crypto, but I find my method extremely reliable when I just find the right pair to trade. This is just to say I have some experience with trading, but I'm by no means an expert.
Now, I've been scalping the past few days with a paper trading account on TradingView. I've mostly been trading the US Currency Index, S&P 500 and some crypto pairs thus far. I'm scalping on the 1m time frame using bollinger bands and looking at trends, price action and stoch RSI for confirmation on my entries. I started out with 100k a few days ago and first doubled my account to around 200k and then did a 1,3 mill trade, but I was running like 500-1000 USD per pip, so if the market turned against me, I'd be liquidated real quick. While the trades were good, I figured I was disconnected from the risk I was taking because it isn't real money, and I wanted to try doing more conservative and realistic trades, so I reset the account yesterday.
Edit (more trades done): Since the account was reset, I've done 45 trades where I've lost on two of them. If my math serves me right, that's about an 95.5% win rate. I'm up around 77.5% currently. I did lose 1500 on one trade, but that's because I by mistake placed a sell order when I was supposed to add another buy order double down on my long position, so I'm not counting that one in (but I'm not counting the 1500 I lost as profit either). I have a very strict strategy I'm sticking to when doing these scalps. I realize 45 trades is not a huge sample size, but that is kinda why I'm asking:
How many trades should I do on the paper trading account before I should run it live with confidence?
For anyone who might be interested, here's my account history: https://imgur.com/a/zuRSWwd
Edit: here's 6 trades more: https://imgur.com/a/CmbyU6n
Edit2: some more trades: https://imgur.com/a/q9xqVyq
Edit3: I think we're up to 45 trades now: https://imgur.com/a/CsWZEN7
submitted by imawfullyaverage to Forex [link] [comments]

02-28 09:52 - 'USD/CAD Rates Jump to 2-month Highs After Federal Reserve Chair Powel's Testimony' (razor-forex.com) by /u/DarthFace1 removed from /r/worldnews within 332-342min

USD/CAD Rates Jump to 2-month Highs After Federal Reserve Chair Powel's Testimony
Go1dfish undelete link
unreddit undelete link
Author: DarthFace1
submitted by removalbot to removalbot [link] [comments]

🌈🐻🌈🐻🌈🐻 LETS THE BEARVOLUTION BEGIN🌈🐻🌈🐻🌈🐻


  1. LOCK DOWN MODE PART 2: MM know that the bubble got to burst at some point. We been rocketing since March. They will used this as an excuse to dump.
  2. On last Friday we saw the short side take cover. Shorts are coming in on Monday hot with a fully loaded clip ready to fires.
  3. SMALL BUSINESS OWNER LOANS: The FED fuck this up. They should have done this back in May when SBO really need this. Doing it now reek of desperation but also tell me that the default rate for Q1 of 21 will be through the roof.
  4. FED SWAPPING ACTION WITH BoJ: We've been switching hot air from one balloon to another with Japan. China saw this and start buying $30 Billion of Yen. Can some Forex guys chime in on this.
EDIT1: I forgot to put these stuff in.

POSITIONS?:

PLEASE REMEMBER TO DONATE TO YOUR LOCAL FOOD PENTRY.
submitted by wsb_gang to wallstreetbets [link] [comments]

The importance of backtesting and sticking to a strategy

Hi all,
I just wanted to share my trading experience with you so far, and maybe help some people who may be in the situation as I am. I started trading about 2-3 months ago. I started with baby pips, opened a demo account, and got cocky a couple weeks into it and made a live account with $100, and every other week or so put $20 extra in. (thank God I didn’t put it more than that). Today, my account stands at around $68, with a total P/L of -$131.76. I have been really uncomfortable losing money, even if it’s not a lot, and that uncomfortableness forced me to realize my mistake.
I thought I could half ass a strategy and be a winner in forex, and the market humbled me extremely quickly. I actually didn’t have a strategy at all. It was a lazy mix of a bunch of different typical strategies I saw on YouTube. I also let my emotions get into trades, after a losing trade I would get back in the market in the opposite direction to try and make up for my loss. All bad, I know. I was too cocky.
Just like anything difficult in life, you cannot half ass forex. I spent all of Friday testing an EXTREMELY simple strategy on 4 major pairs, and out of 93 total trades over the last 6 months, the win rate of my strategy is 73%. From now on, I vow to ONLY make a trade when my strategy presents itself. Moral of the story is, if you think you can half ass forex, you better wake up right now. Find a strategy, backtest it, and only trade said strategy. Have some discipline.
Here is my extremely simple, backtested strategy with a 73% win rate that I got from The Trading Channel on YouTube:
Indicators: 200 EMA
Requirements: 2 wicks IN A ROW that TOUCH the 200 EMA, that have candle bodies that both close above or below the 200 EMA. If both candles close above the 200 EMA, go long. If both candles close below the 200 EMA go short. Stay extremely strict with the rules of the strategy.
Here are the pairs that I have tested this strategy on over the past 6 months, that total a 73% win rate:
-GBP/USD: 18/27 winning trades (67%)
-NZD/USD: 15/27 winning trades (71%)
-EUUSD: 15/20 winning trades (75%)
-EUGBP: 20/25 winning trades (80%)
All backtesting was done on the H1 chart. I tried on the daily and H4 charts but the frequency just wasn’t enough. In the video that I got this strategy from he was trying to highlight the importance of the frequency of your strategy. Even if it may have a really high winning percentage, if it only happens once a year it’s not a good strategy.
Also on a side note, I’ve seen a lot of conflicting opinions on whether or not the US election will effect USD pairs, do you guys think the election will mess with my strategy this upcoming week, or should I just trade my strategy and pay not attention to the results of the election?
Thanks for reading, and happy trading
Sincerely, u/emopatriot
submitted by emopatriot to Forex [link] [comments]

A forex card is a safe option to carry while travelling abroad. It also protects against exchange rate fluctuations during the travel period. It is very easy to obtain a forex card and it can be bought from any authorized dealer or bank.

A forex card is a safe option to carry while travelling abroad. It also protects against exchange rate fluctuations during the travel period. It is very easy to obtain a forex card and it can be bought from any authorized dealer or bank. submitted by currencykartdelhi to Travel_Guide [link] [comments]

03-02 00:28 - 'Pound Drops to 37-day Low Against the USD; Bitcoin/GBP Rate Spikes to All-Time High of £1151' (razor-forex.com) by /u/TechWizardry removed from /r/unitedkingdom within 51-56min

Pound Drops to 37-day Low Against the USD; Bitcoin/GBP Rate Spikes to All-Time High of £1151
Go1dfish undelete link
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Author: TechWizardry
submitted by removalbot to removalbot [link] [comments]

(ABC) Telecom giant MTN lists 2016 losses from Nigeria fine, forex | African telecommunications giant MTN is warning shareholders to expect big losses caused by a $1 billion regulatory fine in Nigeria, damaging foreign exchange rates and a South African black empowerment share offering

submitted by Mukhasim to UMukhasimAutoNews [link] [comments]

Former investment bank FX trader: some thoughts

Former investment bank FX trader: some thoughts
Hi guys,
I have been using reddit for years in my personal life (not trading!) and wanted to give something back in an area where i am an expert.
I worked at an investment bank for seven years and joined them as a graduate FX trader so have lots of professional experience, by which i mean I was trained and paid by a big institution to trade on their behalf. This is very different to being a full-time home trader, although that is not to discredit those guys, who can accumulate a good amount of experience/wisdom through self learning.
When I get time I'm going to write a mid-length posts on each topic for you guys along the lines of how i was trained. I guess there would be 15-20 topics in total so about 50-60 posts. Feel free to comment or ask questions.
The first topic is Risk Management and we'll cover it in three parts
Part I
  • Why it matters
  • Position sizing
  • Kelly
  • Using stops sensibly
  • Picking a clear level

Why it matters

The first rule of making money through trading is to ensure you do not lose money. Look at any serious hedge fund’s website and they’ll talk about their first priority being “preservation of investor capital.”
You have to keep it before you grow it.
Strangely, if you look at retail trading websites, for every one article on risk management there are probably fifty on trade selection. This is completely the wrong way around.
The great news is that this stuff is pretty simple and process-driven. Anyone can learn and follow best practices.
Seriously, avoiding mistakes is one of the most important things: there's not some holy grail system for finding winning trades, rather a routine and fairly boring set of processes that ensure that you are profitable, despite having plenty of losing trades alongside the winners.

Capital and position sizing

The first thing you have to know is how much capital you are working with. Let’s say you have $100,000 deposited. This is your maximum trading capital. Your trading capital is not the leveraged amount. It is the amount of money you have deposited and can withdraw or lose.
Position sizing is what ensures that a losing streak does not take you out of the market.
A rule of thumb is that one should risk no more than 2% of one’s account balance on an individual trade and no more than 8% of one’s account balance on a specific theme. We’ll look at why that’s a rule of thumb later. For now let’s just accept those numbers and look at examples.
So we have $100,000 in our account. And we wish to buy EURUSD. We should therefore not be risking more than 2% which $2,000.
We look at a technical chart and decide to leave a stop below the monthly low, which is 55 pips below market. We’ll come back to this in a bit. So what should our position size be?
We go to the calculator page, select Position Size and enter our details. There are many such calculators online - just google "Pip calculator".

https://preview.redd.it/y38zb666e5h51.jpg?width=1200&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=26e4fe569dc5c1f43ce4c746230c49b138691d14
So the appropriate size is a buy position of 363,636 EURUSD. If it reaches our stop level we know we’ll lose precisely $2,000 or 2% of our capital.
You should be using this calculator (or something similar) on every single trade so that you know your risk.
Now imagine that we have similar bets on EURJPY and EURGBP, which have also broken above moving averages. Clearly this EUR-momentum is a theme. If it works all three bets are likely to pay off. But if it goes wrong we are likely to lose on all three at once. We are going to look at this concept of correlation in more detail later.
The total amount of risk in our portfolio - if all of the trades on this EUR-momentum theme were to hit their stops - should not exceed $8,000 or 8% of total capital. This allows us to go big on themes we like without going bust when the theme does not work.
As we’ll see later, many traders only win on 40-60% of trades. So you have to accept losing trades will be common and ensure you size trades so they cannot ruin you.
Similarly, like poker players, we should risk more on trades we feel confident about and less on trades that seem less compelling. However, this should always be subject to overall position sizing constraints.
For example before you put on each trade you might rate the strength of your conviction in the trade and allocate a position size accordingly:

https://preview.redd.it/q2ea6rgae5h51.png?width=1200&format=png&auto=webp&s=4332cb8d0bbbc3d8db972c1f28e8189105393e5b
To keep yourself disciplined you should try to ensure that no more than one in twenty trades are graded exceptional and allocated 5% of account balance risk. It really should be a rare moment when all the stars align for you.
Notice that the nice thing about dealing in percentages is that it scales. Say you start out with $100,000 but end the year up 50% at $150,000. Now a 1% bet will risk $1,500 rather than $1,000. That makes sense as your capital has grown.
It is extremely common for retail accounts to blow-up by making only 4-5 losing trades because they are leveraged at 50:1 and have taken on far too large a position, relative to their account balance.
Consider that GBPUSD tends to move 1% each day. If you have an account balance of $10k then it would be crazy to take a position of $500k (50:1 leveraged). A 1% move on $500k is $5k.
Two perfectly regular down days in a row — or a single day’s move of 2% — and you will receive a margin call from the broker, have the account closed out, and have lost all your money.
Do not let this happen to you. Use position sizing discipline to protect yourself.

Kelly Criterion

If you’re wondering - why “about 2%” per trade? - that’s a fair question. Why not 0.5% or 10% or any other number?
The Kelly Criterion is a formula that was adapted for use in casinos. If you know the odds of winning and the expected pay-off, it tells you how much you should bet in each round.
This is harder than it sounds. Let’s say you could bet on a weighted coin flip, where it lands on heads 60% of the time and tails 40% of the time. The payout is $2 per $1 bet.
Well, absolutely you should bet. The odds are in your favour. But if you have, say, $100 it is less obvious how much you should bet to avoid ruin.
Say you bet $50, the odds that it could land on tails twice in a row are 16%. You could easily be out after the first two flips.
Equally, betting $1 is not going to maximise your advantage. The odds are 60/40 in your favour so only betting $1 is likely too conservative. The Kelly Criterion is a formula that produces the long-run optimal bet size, given the odds.
Applying the formula to forex trading looks like this:
Position size % = Winning trade % - ( (1- Winning trade %) / Risk-reward ratio
If you have recorded hundreds of trades in your journal - see next chapter - you can calculate what this outputs for you specifically.
If you don't have hundreds of trades then let’s assume some realistic defaults of Winning trade % being 30% and Risk-reward ratio being 3. The 3 implies your TP is 3x the distance of your stop from entry e.g. 300 pips take profit and 100 pips stop loss.
So that’s 0.3 - (1 - 0.3) / 3 = 6.6%.
Hold on a second. 6.6% of your account probably feels like a LOT to risk per trade.This is the main observation people have on Kelly: whilst it may optimise the long-run results it doesn’t take into account the pain of drawdowns. It is better thought of as the rational maximum limit. You needn’t go right up to the limit!
With a 30% winning trade ratio, the odds of you losing on four trades in a row is nearly one in four. That would result in a drawdown of nearly a quarter of your starting account balance. Could you really stomach that and put on the fifth trade, cool as ice? Most of us could not.
Accordingly people tend to reduce the bet size. For example, let’s say you know you would feel emotionally affected by losing 25% of your account.
Well, the simplest way is to divide the Kelly output by four. You have effectively hidden 75% of your account balance from Kelly and it is now optimised to avoid a total wipeout of just the 25% it can see.
This gives 6.6% / 4 = 1.65%. Of course different trading approaches and different risk appetites will provide different optimal bet sizes but as a rule of thumb something between 1-2% is appropriate for the style and risk appetite of most retail traders.
Incidentally be very wary of systems or traders who claim high winning trade % like 80%. Invariably these don’t pass a basic sense-check:
  • How many live trades have you done? Often they’ll have done only a handful of real trades and the rest are simulated backtests, which are overfitted. The model will soon die.
  • What is your risk-reward ratio on each trade? If you have a take profit $3 away and a stop loss $100 away, of course most trades will be winners. You will not be making money, however! In general most traders should trade smaller position sizes and less frequently than they do. If you are going to bias one way or the other, far better to start off too small.

How to use stop losses sensibly

Stop losses have a bad reputation amongst the retail community but are absolutely essential to risk management. No serious discretionary trader can operate without them.
A stop loss is a resting order, left with the broker, to automatically close your position if it reaches a certain price. For a recap on the various order types visit this chapter.
The valid concern with stop losses is that disreputable brokers look for a concentration of stops and then, when the market is close, whipsaw the price through the stop levels so that the clients ‘stop out’ and sell to the broker at a low rate before the market naturally comes back higher. This is referred to as ‘stop hunting’.
This would be extremely immoral behaviour and the way to guard against it is to use a highly reputable top-tier broker in a well regulated region such as the UK.
Why are stop losses so important? Well, there is no other way to manage risk with certainty.
You should always have a pre-determined stop loss before you put on a trade. Not having one is a recipe for disaster: you will find yourself emotionally attached to the trade as it goes against you and it will be extremely hard to cut the loss. This is a well known behavioural bias that we’ll explore in a later chapter.
Learning to take a loss and move on rationally is a key lesson for new traders.
A common mistake is to think of the market as a personal nemesis. The market, of course, is totally impersonal; it doesn’t care whether you make money or not.
Bruce Kovner, founder of the hedge fund Caxton Associates
There is an old saying amongst bank traders which is “losers average losers”.
It is tempting, having bought EURUSD and seeing it go lower, to buy more. Your average price will improve if you keep buying as it goes lower. If it was cheap before it must be a bargain now, right? Wrong.
Where does that end? Always have a pre-determined cut-off point which limits your risk. A level where you know the reason for the trade was proved ‘wrong’ ... and stick to it strictly. If you trade using discretion, use stops.

Picking a clear level

Where you leave your stop loss is key.
Typically traders will leave them at big technical levels such as recent highs or lows. For example if EURUSD is trading at 1.1250 and the recent month’s low is 1.1205 then leaving it just below at 1.1200 seems sensible.

If you were going long, just below the double bottom support zone seems like a sensible area to leave a stop
You want to give it a bit of breathing room as we know support zones often get challenged before the price rallies. This is because lots of traders identify the same zones. You won’t be the only one selling around 1.1200.
The “weak hands” who leave their sell stop order at exactly the level are likely to get taken out as the market tests the support. Those who leave it ten or fifteen pips below the level have more breathing room and will survive a quick test of the level before a resumed run-up.
Your timeframe and trading style clearly play a part. Here’s a candlestick chart (one candle is one day) for GBPUSD.

https://preview.redd.it/moyngdy4f5h51.png?width=1200&format=png&auto=webp&s=91af88da00dd3a09e202880d8029b0ddf04fb802
If you are putting on a trend-following trade you expect to hold for weeks then you need to have a stop loss that can withstand the daily noise. Look at the downtrend on the chart. There were plenty of days in which the price rallied 60 pips or more during the wider downtrend.
So having a really tight stop of, say, 25 pips that gets chopped up in noisy short-term moves is not going to work for this kind of trade. You need to use a wider stop and take a smaller position size, determined by the stop level.
There are several tools you can use to help you estimate what is a safe distance and we’ll look at those in the next section.
There are of course exceptions. For example, if you are doing range-break style trading you might have a really tight stop, set just below the previous range high.

https://preview.redd.it/ygy0tko7f5h51.png?width=1200&format=png&auto=webp&s=34af49da61c911befdc0db26af66f6c313556c81
Clearly then where you set stops will depend on your trading style as well as your holding horizons and the volatility of each instrument.
Here are some guidelines that can help:
  1. Use technical analysis to pick important levels (support, resistance, previous high/lows, moving averages etc.) as these provide clear exit and entry points on a trade.
  2. Ensure that the stop gives your trade enough room to breathe and reflects your timeframe and typical volatility of each pair. See next section.
  3. Always pick your stop level first. Then use a calculator to determine the appropriate lot size for the position, based on the % of your account balance you wish to risk on the trade.
So far we have talked about price-based stops. There is another sort which is more of a fundamental stop, used alongside - not instead of - price stops. If either breaks you’re out.
For example if you stop understanding why a product is going up or down and your fundamental thesis has been confirmed wrong, get out. For example, if you are long because you think the central bank is turning hawkish and AUDUSD is going to play catch up with rates … then you hear dovish noises from the central bank and the bond yields retrace lower and back in line with the currency - close your AUDUSD position. You already know your thesis was wrong. No need to give away more money to the market.

Coming up in part II

EDIT: part II here
Letting stops breathe
When to change a stop
Entering and exiting winning positions
Risk:reward ratios
Risk-adjusted returns

Coming up in part III

Squeezes and other risks
Market positioning
Bet correlation
Crap trades, timeouts and monthly limits

***
Disclaimer:This content is not investment advice and you should not place any reliance on it. The views expressed are the author's own and should not be attributed to any other person, including their employer.
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